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Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Spectrum Brands’ Q2 2025 was challenged: revenue $675.7M (-6.0% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $71.3M (-36.5% YoY), adjusted EPS $0.68 (-51% YoY). Management pivoted to maximize cash, withdrew FY25 earnings framework, and guided to ~$160M free cash flow for FY25 .
- Results missed Street consensus: adjusted EPS $0.68 vs $1.38; revenue $675.7M vs $693.0M; adjusted EBITDA $71.3M vs $86.5M. Q1 2025 was a mixed quarter (EPS beat, revenue slight miss). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Segment backdrop: Global Pet Care and Home & Personal Care saw North American category softness; Home & Garden was impacted by Q1 pull-forward yet maintained innovation momentum (Spectracide, Hot Shot) .
- Strategic catalysts: rapid supply-chain relocation out of China (GPC to ~$20M remaining by FY25-end; HPC ~35% U.S.-bound alternative sourcing by FY25-end, ~45% by calendar year-end), continued buybacks ($140M authorization remaining), and M&A optionality in pet consumables. HPC separation delayed amid tariff/geopolitical headwinds .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Liquidity/Balance Sheet: $96.0M cash, $504.6M total liquidity, net debt ~$560.9M; net leverage ~1.7x provides flexibility to secure non-China supply and pursue opportunistic M&A .
- Rapid tariff mitigation: “We made the tough decision to pause virtually all finished purchase goods from China… GPC… expects to reduce that exposure to approximately $20 million by fiscal year-end,” with HPC alternative sourcing ramping to ~35% by FY25-end and ~45% by calendar year-end .
- Innovation/commercial execution: H&G pipeline (Spectracide traps, Hot Shot Flying Insect Trap) with strong early POS; GPC brand campaigns (Good ‘n’ Fun WNBA halftime sponsorship) and new pet nutrition launches; HPC product launches (Emeril French Door air fryer variant, Remington Botanicals at Walmart) .
What Went Wrong
- Tariffs and demand softness: North American category demand softened in GPC and HPC; tariff exemption expirations and incremental tariffs pressured margins; Home & Garden impacted by Q1 retailer pull-forward and S/4HANA timing .
- Profitability compression: Gross margin down 60 bps to 37.5%; adjusted EBITDA margin down 500 bps to 10.6%; adjusted EPS fell to $0.68; HPC adjusted EBITDA fell to $7.3M (2.9% margin) on lower volumes, higher trade spend, unfavorable mix, and tariffs .
- Visibility reduced: Withdrawal of FY25 earnings framework due to unprecedented tariff conditions and softer U.S./European demand; HPC separation delayed until tariff clarity or supply chain transition completes .
Financial Results
Consolidated Performance by Quarter (oldest → newest)
Q2 2025 Actual vs Consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Segment Net Sales and EBITDA
Q2 YoY comparison:
Sequential (Q1 → Q2):
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We made the tough decision to pause virtually all finished purchase goods from China… we expect to have sourcing alternatives outside of China for the U.S. market for all but about $20 million of our total GPC purchases by the end of the fiscal year.” — David Maura, CEO .
- “Given the unprecedented global tariff conditions… we do not have sufficient visibility to continue providing an earnings framework for fiscal ’25. We expect to deliver $6 to $7 per share of free cash flow this fiscal year.” — David Maura, CEO .
- “Adjusted EBITDA was $71.3 million… driven by lower volume, reduced gross margins and increased brand-focused investments; excluding prior-year investment income, adjusted EBITDA declined $24 million.” — Jeremy Smeltser, CFO .
- “Home & Garden sales decreased 5.2% due to timing shifts… early POS reads on innovation are well above expectations.” — Jeremy Smeltser, CFO .
- “HPC adjusted EBITDA margin declined to 2.9%… driven by lower volumes, higher trade promotions, unfavorable mix, incremental tariffs… and inflation.” — Jeremy Smeltser, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Competitive advantage under tariffs: Management emphasized scale (e.g., Black+Decker $400M brand; Good ‘n’ Fun >$250M) and strong balance sheet to secure priority with alternative factories, while pricing under worst-case tariff scenarios .
- Tariff impact framing: CFO outlined ~$300M prior China sourcing exposure ($100M pet, $200M HPC) but noted immediate halt to China orders and business-by-business mitigation; Q3 expected similar to Q2, with Q4 uncertainty tied to demand/product availability .
- Capital allocation pivot: Ongoing buybacks while preserving liquidity for accretive pet M&A; focus on consumables (niche food/treats, health/wellness, cat) to lift portfolio multiple .
- HPC transition details: 15–20% of HPC U.S. SKUs may not move (smaller, lower-margin) near term; majority of alternative sourcing through existing suppliers in new geographies (Asia, Mexico) .
- Free cash flow building blocks: Working capital actions (sell-down of U.S. HPC inventory and receivable collections in H2), disciplined spend, and no significant forward inventory buying for tariffs; majority FCF in second half .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025: Spectrum missed consensus on adjusted EPS ($0.68 vs $1.38), revenue ($675.7M vs $693.0M), and adjusted EBITDA ($71.3M vs $86.5M). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Q1 2025: Adjusted EPS beat ($1.02 vs $0.92), while revenue slightly missed ($700.2M vs $703.3M). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Q4 2024: Adjusted EPS missed ($0.97 vs $1.07), revenue beat ($773.7M vs $747.5M). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Where estimates may need to adjust: Models should reflect tariff-driven volume constraints in U.S. HPC and continued premium trade-down in GPC, tempered by rapid supply relocation and H&G seasonal ramp with innovation. Management’s withdrawal of the FY25 framework necessitates wider bands on H2 assumptions and closer monitoring of tariff policy outcomes .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term setup: Guidance withdrawal and broad consensus misses point to elevated uncertainty into Q3/Q4; H&G seasonal performance and tariff developments are key trading catalysts .
- Cash-first operating model: Management pivot to maximize FY25 FCF (~$160M) and protect liquidity reduces downside risk and supports ongoing buybacks/M&A optionality despite earnings pressure .
- Supply-chain agility: Concrete milestones to exit China for GPC/H&G by FY25-end and materially reduce HPC exposure by CY25-end mitigate tariff risk and should support margin/availability stabilization in FY26 .
- Segment lens: Favor H&G into the core season (innovation and retailer support), remain cautious on North America HPC/GPC premium categories; e-commerce remains a structural tailwind for HPC .
- Strategic optionality: Strong balance sheet/leverage (~1.7x) positions SPB to consolidate pet consumables and re-rate; HPC separation likely revisited post tariff clarity/sourcing transition .
- Watch list: Pricing actions, retailer reorder patterns, the pace of alternative sourcing, and tariff policy headlines; non-GAAP adjustments (impairments, ERP/separation costs) remain notable in reported metrics .
- Actionable: Model H2 with constrained U.S. HPC supply and cautious GPC demand; carry H&G upside scenario on favorable weather/POS; tilt valuation weight to FCF and balance sheet strength over near-term GAAP EPS volatility .
Citations: Q2 2025 8‑K press release and exhibits ; Q2 2025 earnings call transcripts and –; Q1 2025 press release –; Q4 2024 press release/call – –; Dividend press release .
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.